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EMERGING THREAT ASSESSMENT
GLOBAL STRIKE MEDIA.COM 
NORTH AMERICA 

Iran & Russia:  a new great game?  rivalry or partner

9/26/2015

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John Batchelor Radio Show http://johnbatchelorshow.com/podcasts/fri-92515-hr-4-jbs-ilan-berman-author-iran’s-deadly-ambition-islamic-republic’s-quest 

Dr. Berman Vice President for American Foreign Policy Council http://www.afpc.org/expert_listings/view/2
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Personal Website http://www.ilanberman.com 

Forbes Contributor http://www.forbes.com/sites/ilanberman/

National Review Online http://www.nationalreview.com/author/ilan-berman
 
​U.S. News & World Report http://www.usnews.com/topics/author/ilan_berman

Twitter https://twitter.com/ilanbermanref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor
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​Amazon http://amzn.com/B0110I5M2G

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Beijing's Intimidation & failed u.s. pacific policy:  the 'reset' & 'pivot' failed.

9/24/2015

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The Foreign Policy Institute (FPI) lists how policy reversal is best achieved by meeting Beijing 'straight-on' in the Pacific, re-establishing U.S. dominance of the commons while checking China's advance regarding cybersecurity, international trade relations, nuclear North Korea (Beijing's client state), China's military modernization & human rights inside China.  Please see link below.

The Foreign Policy Institute http://www.foreignpolicyi.org/content/fpi-bulletin-chinese-intimidation-persists-ahead-washington-summit
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Dr. David Petraeus on failed foreign policy

9/24/2015

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Dr. Petraeus was invited to the U.S. Senate for prepared remarks over U.S. foreign policy commitments & strategy involving Iran, Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan, Yemen & Russia.  He revealed a startling admission that U.S. policy is too passive and disengaged.  His remarks reveal the need for U.S. policy resolve to shape regional outcomes.  Please see original testimony below. 
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Foreign Policy Institute http://www.foreignpolicyi.org/content/hearing-wrap-general-petraeus-us-mideast-policy
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Pentagon:  Rapid Reaction Cell for India

9/19/2015

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U.S. Pentagon & Defense Department have launched Rapid Reaction Cell to assist New Delhi's procurement aims and objectives remain consistent with U.S. trans-regional objectives. 

NDTV http://www.ndtv.com/world-news/pentagon-creates-india-rapid-reaction-cell-1217767
 
Dawn Pakistan http://www.dawn.com/news/1207647 & http://www.dawn.com/news/1207456
 
Gateway House India's Council on Global Affairs Report "India's Strategic Imperative in the South Pacific" http://www.gatewayhouse.in/wp-content/uploads/2013/11/Indias-Strategic-Imperative-in-the-South-Pacific.pdf

Gateway House India's Council on Global Affairs Homepage http://www.gatewayhouse.in/about-us/

 
U.S. Dept. of Defense Emerging Capability & Prototyping http://www.acq.osd.mil/ecp/


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India's modi:  bulwark against beijing's ambitions & islamic militancy; growth strategy

9/19/2015

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India's Central Banker is mostly correct in the above citation.  However, Washington's Peterson's Institute for International Economics has a far better analysis pertaining to Modi's growth strategy.  Dr. Rajan is correct to acknowledge the limitations of monetarist ambitions for growth, a problem the U.S. and Japan have NOT learned. India isn't China, so mimicking the export led growth of its communist neighbor won't do either.  Lower taxes acknowledges that fiscal instruments remain primary policy tool for New Delhi.  

Peterson's Institute for International Economics maintains the following must occur for 'lift off'.
1.  New Delhi must expand its engagement with global markets, integrating its export regime to the domestic goal of domestic symmetry.  This is how India's government can reduce transaction costs in the hope of unifying a very asymmetric subcontinent.  Absent a deepening of its interdependency in global capital markets, there will be NO 'lift-off'.  Mega-regional trade agreements are primary to India's reduction of its manufacturing deficit & international competitiveness. 

2.  International trade expansion would offset inflation while increasing competitiveness and productivity. 

3.  Growth from F.D.I. would usher in economies of scale to India's indigenous textile, manufacturing, pharmaceutical industries.  

4.  New Delhi must achieve tax symmetry, labor market reforms, land, subsidy reform.  Without these achievements, India languishes. 

For an extensive look at Peterson's Institute for International Economics PDF on India http://www.piie.com/publications/briefings/piieb15-4.pdf
 
Brookings Institute Dr. W. Pal Sidhu 'Modi's 1st Year:  The Assessment' https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/modi-governments-first-year-assessment-w-pal-sidhu?trk=prof-post
 
Brookings India http://www.brookings.in/in_focus_category/indiagov365/
 
India's Council on Foreign Relations, Gateway House http://www.gatewayhouse.in/about-us/
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Chinese ballistic weapons & xi's military purge

9/10/2015

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Xi's Purge of the military and China's ballistic technology, interview with Forbes Magazine Gordon Chang The John Batchelor Radio Show http://johnbatchelorshow.com/podcasts/wed-9915-gordon-chang-forbescom-stephen-yates-idaho-gop-rich-fisher-international
 
Review of China's Ballistic Missile Technology http://www.nti.org/country-profiles/china/delivery-systems/
 
Defense Department 2015 Report on Chinese Military Developments http://www.defense.gov/Portals/1/Documents/pubs/2015_China_Military_Power_Report.pdf
 
Business Insider Brief w/ Maps on Chinese Ballistic Developments http://www.businessinsider.com/chinese-missiles-can-hit-entirety-of-us-2015-5
 
Beijing's Nuclear Arsenal http://www.rt.com/news/259417-china-mirv-missile-upgrade/

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beijing:  capital market meltdown, update

9/8/2015

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Capital Outflows & Yuan Meltdown, The John Batchelor Show
http://johnbatchelorshow.com/blog/2015/video-market-leninism

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How the Chinese Economic Miracle Began Amazon Author Page http://amzn.com/1118176367

Twitter Account Henry Sanderson https://twitter.com/hjesanderson
 
Publisher Wiley Review http://www.wiley.com/WileyCDA/WileyTitle/productCd-1118176367.html
 
Twitter Account Michael Forsythe https://twitter.com/PekingMike?
 
Blog Michael Forsythe http://sinosphere.blogs.nytimes.com/author/michael-forsythe/?_r=0

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Amazon Author Page & Outline w/ Review http://amzn.com/0691163626
http://www.amazon.com/Michael-Pettis/e/B001ITW1FY/ref=dp_byline_cont_book_1
 
Blog Michael Pettis http://blog.mpettis.com
 
Dr. Pettis Carnagie Endowment http://carnegieendowment.org/experts/?fa=444http://carnegieendowment.org/experts/?fa=444

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market volatility:  the new normal

9/8/2015

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John Batchelor Show Heritage Foundation Scholar US Capital Market Volatility http://johnbatchelorshow.com/blog/2015/video-volatile
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    HOOVER: CHINA LEADERSHIP MONITOR

    Peering into crystal ball; future of war
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    salafi-jihadi-ecosystem-in-the-sahel.pdf
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    BEYOND COUNTER-TERRORISM
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    HOW THE SALIFI-JIHADI MOVEMENT IS WINNING
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    road-to-the-caliphate-onepager.pdf
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    road-to-the-caliphate.pdf
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    rpt-fp-zimmerman_americas-real-enemy-online.pdf
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    salafi-threat-onepager-final.pdf
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    WASHINGTON INSTITUTE NEAR EAST POLICY

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    STRATEGY BRIDGE

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    HOW TO DEFEAT THE ISLAMIC STATE & AFFILIATES

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