<![CDATA[PraetoriumStrategy.com - Demography]]>Sat, 10 Oct 2026 19:27:35 -0400Weebly<![CDATA[TEXAS & DEMOGRAPHY]]>Fri, 02 Oct 2026 18:35:09 GMThttps://www.praetoriumstrategy.com/demography/texas-demography
]]><![CDATA[CHINA & THE ONE CHILD POLICY:  IMPACT]]>Tue, 01 Sep 2026 19:58:11 GMThttps://www.praetoriumstrategy.com/demography/china-the-one-child-policy-impact
]]><![CDATA[GOV NEEDS FISCAL REFORM]]>Fri, 10 Jul 2026 18:48:45 GMThttps://www.praetoriumstrategy.com/demography/gov-needs-fiscal-reform
]]><![CDATA[THE RETURN OF MERIT & EFFORT:  SOCIAL MOBILITY STILL MATTERS]]>Tue, 23 Jun 2026 20:58:29 GMThttps://www.praetoriumstrategy.com/demography/the-return-of-merit-effort-social-mobility-still-matters
]]><![CDATA[MALTHUSIAN:  VICTORIAN IMMIGRATION POPULATION CONTROL]]>Tue, 23 Jun 2026 20:48:06 GMThttps://www.praetoriumstrategy.com/demography/malthusian-victorian-immigration-population-control
]]><![CDATA[MARRIAGE FOR ETERNITY?]]>Fri, 08 May 2026 20:13:13 GMThttps://www.praetoriumstrategy.com/demography/marriage-for-eternity
ENOCH POWELL MATTERS?
]]><![CDATA[AN IRISH TALE:  NEW YAWKS SURGING IRISH DEMOGRAPHIC MEETS A FRONTIER]]>Thu, 30 Apr 2026 04:17:05 GMThttps://www.praetoriumstrategy.com/demography/an-irish-tale-new-yawks-surging-irish-demographic-meets-a-frontierGENDER GAP IN CHURCH?
]]><![CDATA[demographics on non-working meN]]>Thu, 16 Apr 2026 09:52:25 GMThttps://www.praetoriumstrategy.com/demography/demographics-on-non-working-mem
GEN. Z ECONOMIC DEPENDENCY?
]]><![CDATA[WHAT REPLACES MARRIAGE]]>Mon, 10 Nov 2025 22:55:39 GMThttps://www.praetoriumstrategy.com/demography/what-replaces-marriage
up_to_my_neck_in_σκύβαλα_-_by_katherine_bennett.pdf
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The Great Infantilization
Are the Entry-Level Jobs Drying Up for Young Adults? Timothy Taylor Conversable Economist
Bachelors Without Bachelor’s: Gender Gaps in Education and Declining Marriage Rates
Working-Age, but Not Working, 1960 to 2025 Steven Camarota and Karen Zeigler Center For Immigration Studies
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Changes in Milestones of Adulthood and Women, Men and Jobs and The Sex Recession: The Share Of Americans Having Regular Sex Keeps Dropping
Marriage, Cohabitation, and Separation: A Dynamic Approach to the Second Demographic Transition Sean Elliott University of Toronto
In the mid-1990s, individuals became more likely to cohabit and less likely to marry. After the financial crisis, remaining single became more common and fertility declined sharply. Dissolution rates for both marriage and cohabitation have declined.
Using four decades of monthly U.S. demographic data, I show that: (i) marriage has declined while cohabitation has risen, (ii) both unions have become more stable over time, and (iii) there are two inflection points: the mid-1990s, when substitution from marriage to cohabitation accelerated, and after the 2008 financial crisis, when remaining single became more common. Figure 3 summarizes these changes in one-year hazard rates. The first phase of the transition corresponds to substitution from marriage toward cohabitation; the second marks a regime in which remaining single became increasingly common. I refer to these as the first and second inflection points of the second demographic transition. Figure 3d also shows that fertility declined substantially after the 2008 financial crisis. Estimates of a nonstationary matching model show that rising match-formation costs outpaced surplus gains, reducing partnership formation, while marriage stability is driven by rising surplus and cohabitation stability by higher dissolution costs. Policy reforms in the 1990s coincide with the marriage-cohabitation substitution, and counterfactuals indicate that, coming out of the 2008 crisis, had house prices not risen so sharply, marriage formation would have been higher while cohabitation would have decreased.
Changes in Milestones of Adulthood and All Over The Rich World, Fewer People Are Hooking Up And Shacking Up and The Sex Recession: The Share Of Americans Having Regular Sex Keeps Dropping
]]><![CDATA[MEN WITHOUT WORK]]>Sun, 26 Oct 2025 21:27:22 GMThttps://www.praetoriumstrategy.com/demography/men-without-work9784982An Update to the Demographic Outlook, 2025 to 2055
​Depopulation Globally and in the Asia-Pacific: The Shape of Things to Come 
Is America’s Religious Decline Responsible for Falling Birthrates? Daniel Cox American Storylines
The Supply Chain Chokepoints in Quantum 
After Malthusianism
US ECONOMY & HUMAN CAPITAL, INNOVATION; FREEDOM FREQUENCY
Men without Work: Post-Pandemic Edition (2022) (New ...
]]><![CDATA[NET ZERO:  POPULATION GROWTH]]>Fri, 03 Oct 2025 21:13:57 GMThttps://www.praetoriumstrategy.com/demography/net-zero-population-growth
]]><![CDATA[GENERATION Z & RELIGION]]>Tue, 27 May 2025 03:10:27 GMThttps://www.praetoriumstrategy.com/demography/generation-z-religionFamily as the Foundation of Republican Democracy
Robert P. George | New York University School of Law Democracy Project
Whatever one thinks of baby bonuses or child-tax credits as policy matters, the debate over “natalism” lays bare the deepest fault line in modern politics.
READ MORE ›
ROBIN J BROOKS, SUBSTACK:  HOW DID WE END UP HERE
PART 2
PART 3
PART 4
More Immigration Won't Lead to a Higher Birthrate
The sexual revolution Is undermined by its own triumph
The Left Can’t Admit The Sexual Revolution Was Harmful Without Admitting Christians Were Right
Gen Z Is Rebelling—by Getting Religion
Want to Reduce Poverty? Teach the “Success Sequence”
]]><![CDATA[THE ROUT BEGINS]]>Wed, 12 Mar 2025 04:04:16 GMThttps://www.praetoriumstrategy.com/demography/the-rout-beginsIran's Seemingly Unstoppable Birth Slump
The Unsurpassable Significance of the Child
Why Have Children? The Global Population Decline and Human Happiness 
Pronatalism's Brave New World – Rachel Lu
The Power of Demography and the Fate of East Asia
MARRIAGE IN THE AGE OF AUTONOMY
What Happens to Cities When Young Residents Move Away?
CRISIS MAGAZINE:  THE SOLUTION TO THE GLOBAL FERTILITY CRISIS
HERITAGE FOUNDATION REPORT ON DEMOGRAPHY
NYP:  HOW TO GET MILLIONS OF MEN BACK TO WORK, NICHOLS EBERSTADT
RUSSIAN EDUCATION & HUMAN CAPITAL: NICHOLS EBERSTADT
AMERICA'S SUICIDE ATTEMPT
THE SUICIDE OF EUROPE
CRISIS MAGAZINE:  THE SOLUTION TO THE GLOBAL FERTILITY CRISIS
TAX FOUNDATION, COUNTRY LEVEL MIGRATION WITHIN U.S. 
A global examination of education and national prosperity
]]><![CDATA[ROMANTIC RECESSION IN U.S.]]>Thu, 06 Feb 2025 06:17:08 GMThttps://www.praetoriumstrategy.com/demography/romantic-recession-in-usWant Higher Birthrates? Promote Marriage
Is America Experiencing an Infidelity Epidemic?
Nicholas Eberstadt – On the Rising Non-Working Class ...
How Progressive Policy Distorted the Housing Market
Updated Warshawsky, Mantus, and Pang Model Projections
Japan's birth crisis is a leadership failure
Family-Friendly Policies for the 119th Congress
The Global Birth Dearth: A Primer - Catholic World Report
Rapid Fertility Decline Is an Existential Crisis - AEI
Birthright Citizenship and the American Founders
Romantic Recession: How Politics, Pessimism, and Anxiety ...
]]><![CDATA[EBERSTADT & EAST ASIA]]>Sat, 04 Jan 2025 05:57:00 GMThttps://www.praetoriumstrategy.com/demography/eberstadt-east-asiaExploration of “Knowledge Capital” in the PRC: “Mapping” China’s Knowledge and Skills Terrain
Changing Demographics and Culture
Making Sense Out of Our Childless & Childish Age
The Demographic Shift | American Enterprise Institute - AEI
The Demographic Shift
The Tradwife Dilemma
Confronting global population collapse: A Quick Q&A with … demographer Nick Eberstadt
Unprotected From Porn
Report: Unprotected from Porn - Wheatley Institute
The Power of Demography and the Fate of East Asia
East Asia's Coming Population Collapse
Nicholas Eberstadt | American Enterprise Institute - AEI
The Eurasian Century: Hot Wars, Cold ...
The Eurasian Century, Part IV: Cold War
The Eurasian Century, Part I: What Mackinder Knew
]]><![CDATA[DEMOGRAPHY & WAR]]>Wed, 18 Dec 2024 05:18:09 GMThttps://www.praetoriumstrategy.com/demography/demography-warWDA Global Longevity Council: Positions for Policy Makers and Strategy Planners
Immigration and Culture
Blue Bloods and the Power of Fatherhood
Cultivating Market Societies
Churchill’s Recovery of Aristocratic Virtue
Reevaluating Coming Apart
The Demographic Dilemma: Why Military Support Must ... - FDD
Kissinger’s Lessons for American Foreign Policy Today
]]><![CDATA[OPEN BORDERS, WHAT IT GOT U.S.]]>Wed, 23 Oct 2024 07:25:00 GMThttps://www.praetoriumstrategy.com/demography/open-borders-what-it-got-us"FAMILY UNFRIENDLY" AMAZON BOOKS
BOOK:  BRAD WILCOX, GET MARRIED SAVE CIVILIZATION
Why Fear Governs So Many of the Choices Single Young Women Make
AEI, THE SURVEY CENTER ON AMERICAN LIFE
MODESTY & SEXUAL NORMS
THE GOP & FAMILY
INSTITUTE FOR FAMILY STUDIES
CITY JOURNAL, WHAT OPEN BORDERS GOT U.S. BY STEVEN MALANGA
WHY WE NEED GARDENERS
]]><![CDATA[THE UPSIDE TO POPULATION DECLINE?]]>Fri, 23 Aug 2024 00:21:04 GMThttps://www.praetoriumstrategy.com/demography/the-upside-to-population-decline
THE END OF THE AGE OF HITLER, FIRST THINGS
Islamism and Immigration in Germany and the European Context
The Global Fertility Crisis Is Worse Than You Think
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde | The Spectator
Creating the conditions for large families to flourish is the only way to reverse the trend in fertility rates. If we fail to do so, the coming demographic winter will be far harsher than anyone cares to admit.
Full Story
The Upside to Population Decline
James Pethokoukis | Faster, Please!
China in the Election: Look Forward, Not Back
Derek Scissors | AEIdeas
Out of Work
Naomi Schaefer Riley | CommentaryIn her new book, The Myth of Making It: A Workplace Reckoning, Samhita Mukhopadhyay concludes that for many women, work has become untenable. But the conclusion you might reach after reading is that it is feminism that has become untenable for women.
Full Story
Women Want More Children Than They’re Having. America Can Do More to Help.
Brad Wilcox and Wendy Wang | Deseret News
]]><![CDATA[WHY MOTHERS ARE DYING IN U.S.]]>Sun, 04 Feb 2024 18:34:15 GMThttps://www.praetoriumstrategy.com/demography/why-mothers-are-dying-in-usCITY JOURNAL, PARSING THE BIRTH DEARTH
THE AMERICAN MIND
SLATE
What motivates an educated woman to have seven children?
READ MORE ›
NOT CUTTING IT, A FAILING MEDICAL PROFESSION
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CITY JOURNAL, 'FULL HOUSE' BOOK REVIEW "HANNA'S CHILDREN"
The Women Quietly Defying the Birth Dearth
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Liberal thinkers used to be quite interested in this endeavor.
READ MORE ›

Embracing Scylla and Charybdis
]]><![CDATA[1 MILLION LEAVE CALIFORNIA & AFTER THE MORNING AFTER; PRO-FAMILY POLICY PRIORITIES A LOOK A THE STATES]]>Mon, 30 Oct 2023 19:20:17 GMThttps://www.praetoriumstrategy.com/demography/1-million-leave-californiaEPPC, PRO FAMILY POLICY PRIORITIES
The Comeback City
Robert Doar | American Enterprise Institute
Individual opportunity, market-based solutions, and rigorous accountability were the key to New York City’s revitalization in the 1990s and 2000s.
Full Story
Katie Roiphe based her work on one good argument, and one bad one. Feminists accepted the bad one.
READ MORE ›
Male Malaise Is Not Just About "the Culture"
W. Bradford Wilcox and Elizabeth Self | American Conservative
Absent clear interventions, we can expect to see all too many boys and young men continue to drift, underperforming in school, work, love, and life. For their sake and ours, let us not leave them to the enervating embrace of Big Business and Big Education.
Full Story
THE TWO PARENT HOME
]]><![CDATA[CHINESE IMMIGRANTS INTO THE SOUTHERN BORDER]]>Wed, 25 Oct 2023 02:55:36 GMThttps://www.praetoriumstrategy.com/demography/chinese-immigrants-into-the-southern-border
]]><![CDATA[INTACT 2 PARENT FAMILY:  THE SOURCE]]>Wed, 04 Oct 2023 20:35:02 GMThttps://www.praetoriumstrategy.com/demography/intact-2-parent-family-the-sourceTHE TWO PARENT HOME
The Mystery of Grace
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INSTITUTE FOR FAMILY STUDIES
Growing Up in Intact Families Matters More Than Ever
W. Bradford Wilcox and David Bass | National Review
Marriage has lost ground in the popular imagination and in practice. But marriage has more of an impact than ever on kids' well-being.
Full Story
Read Tracker
]]><![CDATA[THE SURGE TOWARD THE SOUTHERN U.S. BORDER]]>Wed, 06 Sep 2023 21:04:55 GMThttps://www.praetoriumstrategy.com/demography/the-surge-toward-the-southern-us-border
]]><![CDATA[MEN WITHOUT WORK]]>Sun, 23 Jul 2023 02:48:48 GMThttps://www.praetoriumstrategy.com/demography/men-without-workOur expressive civil liberties enable a pluralistic society made up of people with deep differences on things that matter.
READ MORE ›
Given the realities of global economics, parlaying black poverty and historical disadvantage for moral victim points only goes so far.
READ MORE ›
What the State Cannot Do
Conservatism and Freedom in Troubled Times
Freedom Conservatism: A Friendly Critique
Camus and the Crisis of the West
“Besieged”: Incarnational History
]]><![CDATA[BRIEF INTRO INTO DEMOGRAPHIC DECLINE]]>Mon, 17 Apr 2023 21:05:38 GMThttps://www.praetoriumstrategy.com/demography/brief-intro-into-demographic-declineMissing but Wanted: Children
Partisan explanations for why birth rates are falling miss the true sources of a cross-cultural trend, and the possible solutions
BY MICHAEL LIND
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